{"schemaVersion":"decisiongarden.seed.v1","canonicalUrl":"http://decisiongarden.nex-a.net/ja/public/gardens/019f995d-7b16-78e0-9180-48266a2eabdc/seeds/019fc506-7eb1-77b1-86d3-bea4297732df","vocabulary":{"Garden":"A bounded place where Seeds, Relations, and Decisions are cultivated.","Seed":"A thought, question, fact, task, or AI-proposed Unthought represented as a graph node.","Relation":"A typed semantic edge between two Seeds in the same Garden.","Decision":"A human-authored judgment that records referenced Seeds and rationale.","SeedLink":"A navigational reference from a Seed to an external URL or another Garden; it is not a Relation."},"garden":{"id":"019f995d-7b16-78e0-9180-48266a2eabdc","ownerUserId":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","kind":"public","writePolicy":"members","title":"Youtube@Nariyachan","description":"Nariya Takemuraの youtubeチャンネル","licenseKey":null,"publicSlug":"youtube-nariyachan-019f995d","moderationStatus":"active","moderationNote":null,"createdAt":"2026-07-25T13:01:08.246Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-25T13:01:08.246Z"},"seed":{"id":"019fc506-7eb1-77b1-86d3-bea4297732df","gardenId":"019f995d-7b16-78e0-9180-48266a2eabdc","title":"[x-nariyachan] 感情共感は24h到達量と会話を増やすか","body":"## 判断したいこと\n感情共感は24h到達量と会話を増やすか\n\n## 顧客課題\n事実だけの引用所感では読者が自分との接点を感じにくく、到達しても会話やプロフィール訪問につながらない可能性がある\n\n## 仮説\n同じ種類の引用投稿でも、本人が実際に感じた違和感・驚き・安堵・楽しさを具体的に言語化した冒頭の方が、中立な事実開始より24h impressions中央値と会話の非ゼロ率を高める\n\n## 確認済み根拠\n- [2026-08-03] .secrets/social_action_graph/validations/019fc125-227a-7747-a4e4-ed9fc5c107d3.json — 最初の24h比較はcontrol 1件180 impressions、treatment 1件179。conversation/profile click/公開engagementの非ゼロ率は双方0で、正式判定はrepeat。\n- [2026-08-03] .secrets/x_post_performance.jsonl — 2組目はcontrolが2h=63、treatmentが2h=74かつlike 1だが、24h値は2026-08-03 14:26 JST以降と16:17 JST以降に到来するため現時点の24h判定には使わない。\n- [2026-08-03] .secrets/x_voice_candidates/7a5d6b92-d202-49ca-be7c-bd82a1abe1b9.json — 次のcontrol候補は本文完全一致承認後、2026-08-03 08:42 JSTに公開済み。2h判断窓は10:42 JST、24h判断窓は2026-08-04 08:42 JST以降。\n\n## 代替案\n- 中立な事実開始をcontrolとして続ける\n- 怒りを煽らず、本人が入力上で実際に述べた感情だけを使う\n- 冒頭構造実験を別controlled variableとして並行する\n\n## 未確認\n- 各variant最低3件での24h再現性\n- 会話・profile clickが非ゼロになるか\n- 題材と投稿時刻の交絡\n\n## 反証条件\ntreatmentの24h impressions中央値がcontrolの0.85倍以下、または感情の捏造・怒り煽動・本人らしさ・会話/profile clickのguardrailが悪化する\n\n## 次の一手\n2026-08-03 14:26 JST以降と16:17 JST以降に2組目の24h値を先に評価する。08:42 JST公開controlは10:42 JSTに2h、2026-08-04 08:42 JST以降に24hを観測し、各variant3件までは規則化せず不足variantを続ける。\n\n## 検証結果\n判断保留・repeat: 最初の24h比較はcontrol 180、treatment 179で実質同水準、価値行動はいずれも0。2組目は24h観測待ち。","rootNotes":"### Decision Garden metadata\n- projectKey: x-nariyachan\n- format: decision-seed.v1","status":"open","seedType":"normal","origin":"human","attributes":{},"createdBy":"019f9973-2c52-7ca6-8572-b6789e231f77","updatedBy":"019f9973-2c52-7ca6-8572-b6789e231f77","createdAt":"2026-08-03T00:29:25.005Z","updatedAt":"2026-08-03T00:29:25.005Z"},"seedLinks":[],"relations":[{"id":"019fc507-14f4-7a96-9920-5f2f29399106","gardenId":"019f995d-7b16-78e0-9180-48266a2eabdc","fromSeedId":"019fc506-7eb1-77b1-86d3-bea4297732df","toSeedId":"019fb625-bf99-705e-844d-e080f14f0f93","relationType":"derived_from","note":"X収益化Outcomeから、感情フレームだけを変える引用投稿の24h実験へ分解したため","createdBy":"019f9973-2c52-7ca6-8572-b6789e231f77","createdAt":"2026-08-03T00:30:03.493Z","fromType":"seed","fromId":"019fc506-7eb1-77b1-86d3-bea4297732df","toType":"seed","toId":"019fb625-bf99-705e-844d-e080f14f0f93"}],"connectedSeeds":[{"id":"019fb625-bf99-705e-844d-e080f14f0f93","gardenId":"019f995d-7b16-78e0-9180-48266a2eabdc","title":"[x-nariyachan] X収益化の到達量を継続改善する","body":"## 種別\nOutcome\n\n## 判断質問\nXの収益化条件へ近づくため、何を継続改善するべきか。\n\n## 現在の差分\n2026-07-31時点で、3M impressions表示は240.7K、認証済みフォロワーは375 / 500。表示上の到達量gapが大きい。\n\n## 方針仮説\n投稿数だけでなく、計測範囲、配信面、内容、価値行動を分解し、独立した実験を並行して回すと改善速度が上がる。\n\n## 成功指標\n- account-level organic impressions 90d（正確なeligibility counterは未確認ならunknownのまま扱う）\n- verified follower count\n- 補助: per-post 24h impressions、engagement、conversation、profile click\n\n## ガードレール\n公開投稿・プロフィール変更・follow/unfollow・DMは本文完全一致の竹村承認なしに実行しない。\n\n## 次の一手\n全体計測を修正し、関連返信面とURL有無を別のcontrolled variableとして並行実験する。","rootNotes":null,"status":"open","seedType":"normal","origin":"human","attributes":{},"createdBy":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","updatedBy":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","createdAt":"2026-07-31T03:09:15.029Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-31T03:09:15.029Z"}],"decisionReferences":[]}