{"schemaVersion":"decisiongarden.seed.v1","canonicalUrl":"http://decisiongarden.nex-a.net/ja/public/gardens/019f995d-7b16-78e0-9180-48266a2eabdc/seeds/019fb626-6b47-72f4-a5dc-ed18dc89be99","vocabulary":{"Garden":"A bounded place where Seeds, Relations, and Decisions are cultivated.","Seed":"A thought, question, fact, task, or AI-proposed Unthought represented as a graph node.","Relation":"A typed semantic edge between two Seeds in the same Garden.","Decision":"A human-authored judgment that records referenced Seeds and rationale.","SeedLink":"A navigational reference from a Seed to an external URL or another Garden; it is not a Relation."},"garden":{"id":"019f995d-7b16-78e0-9180-48266a2eabdc","ownerUserId":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","kind":"public","writePolicy":"members","title":"Youtube@Nariyachan","description":"Nariya Takemuraの youtubeチャンネル","licenseKey":null,"publicSlug":"youtube-nariyachan-019f995d","moderationStatus":"active","moderationNote":null,"createdAt":"2026-07-25T13:01:08.246Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-25T13:01:08.246Z"},"seed":{"id":"019fb626-6b47-72f4-a5dc-ed18dc89be99","gardenId":"019f995d-7b16-78e0-9180-48266a2eabdc","title":"[x-nariyachan] 投稿量だけで5M impressionsへ届くか","body":"## 種別\nCause / Constraint\n\n## 判断質問\n投稿数を増やすだけで90日5M impressionsへ到達できるか。\n\n## 試算\ncandidate 24h中央値135を固定し、100投稿/日を90日続ける単純試算は1,215,000 impressions。5Mの24.3%に留まる。\n\n## 評価\nsupported-but-insufficient。量はデータ取得と到達量に必要だが、現在yieldのままの盲目的な100投稿/日は十分条件ではない。\n\n## 限界\n中央値固定の説明用試算であり、投稿間干渉・時間帯・返信面・アカウント成長は含まない。\n\n## 反証条件\n投稿数増加に伴いper-post yieldまたはdistributionが大きく上昇し、guardrailを守って必要paceへ届くなら更新する。\n\n## 次の一手\n投稿量は段階的に増やし、同時にper-post yield、公開行動率、profile click率の悪化を監視する。","rootNotes":null,"status":"open","seedType":"normal","origin":"human","attributes":{},"createdBy":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","updatedBy":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","createdAt":"2026-07-31T03:09:58.925Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-31T03:09:58.925Z"},"seedLinks":[],"relations":[{"id":"019fb62e-45f5-7ec9-a5db-ecce36a1c5e7","gardenId":"019f995d-7b16-78e0-9180-48266a2eabdc","fromSeedId":"019fb626-6b47-72f4-a5dc-ed18dc89be99","toSeedId":"019fb625-bf99-705e-844d-e080f14f0f93","relationType":"blocks","note":null,"createdBy":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","createdAt":"2026-07-31T03:18:33.708Z","fromType":"seed","fromId":"019fb626-6b47-72f4-a5dc-ed18dc89be99","toType":"seed","toId":"019fb625-bf99-705e-844d-e080f14f0f93"}],"connectedSeeds":[{"id":"019fb625-bf99-705e-844d-e080f14f0f93","gardenId":"019f995d-7b16-78e0-9180-48266a2eabdc","title":"[x-nariyachan] X収益化の到達量を継続改善する","body":"## 種別\nOutcome\n\n## 判断質問\nXの収益化条件へ近づくため、何を継続改善するべきか。\n\n## 現在の差分\n2026-07-31時点で、3M impressions表示は240.7K、認証済みフォロワーは375 / 500。表示上の到達量gapが大きい。\n\n## 方針仮説\n投稿数だけでなく、計測範囲、配信面、内容、価値行動を分解し、独立した実験を並行して回すと改善速度が上がる。\n\n## 成功指標\n- account-level organic impressions 90d（正確なeligibility counterは未確認ならunknownのまま扱う）\n- verified follower count\n- 補助: per-post 24h impressions、engagement、conversation、profile click\n\n## ガードレール\n公開投稿・プロフィール変更・follow/unfollow・DMは本文完全一致の竹村承認なしに実行しない。\n\n## 次の一手\n全体計測を修正し、関連返信面とURL有無を別のcontrolled variableとして並行実験する。","rootNotes":null,"status":"open","seedType":"normal","origin":"human","attributes":{},"createdBy":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","updatedBy":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","createdAt":"2026-07-31T03:09:15.029Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-31T03:09:15.029Z"}],"decisionReferences":[{"id":"019fb62a-f03a-7c24-8b82-eb3fc8920900","decisionId":"019fb628-74ba-7710-8138-30de7c5b66fb","seedId":"019fb626-6b47-72f4-a5dc-ed18dc89be99","role":"contrary","note":"盲目的な100投稿/日を先に固定する案への反証材料。","snapshot":{"body":"## 種別\nCause / Constraint\n\n## 判断質問\n投稿数を増やすだけで90日5M impressionsへ到達できるか。\n\n## 試算\ncandidate 24h中央値135を固定し、100投稿/日を90日続ける単純試算は1,215,000 impressions。5Mの24.3%に留まる。\n\n## 評価\nsupported-but-insufficient。量はデータ取得と到達量に必要だが、現在yieldのままの盲目的な100投稿/日は十分条件ではない。\n\n## 限界\n中央値固定の説明用試算であり、投稿間干渉・時間帯・返信面・アカウント成長は含まない。\n\n## 反証条件\n投稿数増加に伴いper-post yieldまたはdistributionが大きく上昇し、guardrailを守って必要paceへ届くなら更新する。\n\n## 次の一手\n投稿量は段階的に増やし、同時にper-post yield、公開行動率、profile click率の悪化を監視する。","title":"[x-nariyachan] 投稿量だけで5M impressionsへ届くか","seedType":"normal"},"createdBy":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","createdAt":"2026-07-31T03:14:55.162Z"}]}