{"schemaVersion":"decisiongarden.seed.v1","canonicalUrl":"http://decisiongarden.nex-a.net/en/public/gardens/019f995d-7b16-78e0-9180-48266a2eabdc/seeds/019fb625-cd0e-7d29-8ed5-6a7e417a4b3c","vocabulary":{"Garden":"A bounded place where Seeds, Relations, and Decisions are cultivated.","Seed":"A thought, question, fact, task, or AI-proposed Unthought represented as a graph node.","Relation":"A typed semantic edge between two Seeds in the same Garden.","Decision":"A human-authored judgment that records referenced Seeds and rationale.","SeedLink":"A navigational reference from a Seed to an external URL or another Garden; it is not a Relation."},"garden":{"id":"019f995d-7b16-78e0-9180-48266a2eabdc","ownerUserId":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","kind":"public","writePolicy":"members","title":"Youtube@Nariyachan","description":"Nariya Takemuraの youtubeチャンネル","licenseKey":null,"publicSlug":"youtube-nariyachan-019f995d","moderationStatus":"active","moderationNote":null,"createdAt":"2026-07-25T13:01:08.246Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-25T13:01:08.246Z"},"seed":{"id":"019fb625-cd0e-7d29-8ed5-6a7e417a4b3c","gardenId":"019f995d-7b16-78e0-9180-48266a2eabdc","title":"[x-nariyachan] 候補投稿metricsだけではアカウント全体を説明できない","body":"## 種別\nProblem / Cause\n\n## 判断質問\n現在の候補投稿collectorだけで、Xアカウント全体の到達変化を診断できるか。\n\n## 観測（2026-07-25〜2026-07-31）\n- account content CSV: 147投稿、30,034 impressions。\n- candidate-matched: 33投稿、4,379 impressions、全体の14.6%。\n- candidate外: 114投稿、25,655 impressions。\n- candidate 24h collector: 38投稿、5,075 impressions、中央値135。\n\n## 評価\nsupported。候補collectorだけでは全体変動の85.4%を説明できず、原因分析が偏る。\n\n## 反証条件\n日次照合後、candidate-matchedがアカウント全体の大半を継続して覆い、差分が軽微ならこの原因を棄却する。\n\n## 次の一手\naccount content全体を候補ID・投稿種別・実験タグへ照合し、未捕捉の到達寄与を毎日記録する。","rootNotes":null,"status":"open","seedType":"normal","origin":"human","attributes":{},"createdBy":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","updatedBy":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","createdAt":"2026-07-31T03:09:18.474Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-31T03:09:18.474Z"},"seedLinks":[],"relations":[{"id":"019fb62e-4190-7aa4-965f-f2bbf714cbdd","gardenId":"019f995d-7b16-78e0-9180-48266a2eabdc","fromSeedId":"019fb627-1181-731f-bce5-cfdd539a2247","toSeedId":"019fb625-cd0e-7d29-8ed5-6a7e417a4b3c","relationType":"addresses","note":null,"createdBy":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","createdAt":"2026-07-31T03:18:32.586Z","fromType":"seed","fromId":"019fb627-1181-731f-bce5-cfdd539a2247","toType":"seed","toId":"019fb625-cd0e-7d29-8ed5-6a7e417a4b3c"},{"id":"019fb62e-3c75-7b76-ae61-6c60343b1cb7","gardenId":"019f995d-7b16-78e0-9180-48266a2eabdc","fromSeedId":"019fb625-cd0e-7d29-8ed5-6a7e417a4b3c","toSeedId":"019fb625-bf99-705e-844d-e080f14f0f93","relationType":"blocks","note":null,"createdBy":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","createdAt":"2026-07-31T03:18:31.278Z","fromType":"seed","fromId":"019fb625-cd0e-7d29-8ed5-6a7e417a4b3c","toType":"seed","toId":"019fb625-bf99-705e-844d-e080f14f0f93"}],"connectedSeeds":[{"id":"019fb627-1181-731f-bce5-cfdd539a2247","gardenId":"019f995d-7b16-78e0-9180-48266a2eabdc","title":"[x-nariyachan] account content全体をdaily improvement loopへ照合する","body":"## 種別\nAction\n\n## 状態\nin_progress\n\n## Action record\n019fb5ea-4604-70f8-9477-f9d143b55986\n\n## 目的\n候補投稿metricsだけでなく、account content全体を日次分析の入力にし、原因仮説の母集団を揃える。\n\n## 実行内容\n投稿ID、standalone/reply、URL有無、実験タグ、24h metricsを照合し、未捕捉率とtop outlierを記録する。\n\n## 完了条件\n日次レポートでaccount全投稿数・impressions合計・candidate coverage・種別別分布を再現できる。\n\n## 次の一手\n次回readbackで前日分を再計算し、欠損率が残る場合はcollector原因を分解する。","rootNotes":null,"status":"open","seedType":"normal","origin":"human","attributes":{},"createdBy":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","updatedBy":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","createdAt":"2026-07-31T03:10:41.533Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-31T03:10:41.533Z"},{"id":"019fb625-bf99-705e-844d-e080f14f0f93","gardenId":"019f995d-7b16-78e0-9180-48266a2eabdc","title":"[x-nariyachan] X収益化の到達量を継続改善する","body":"## 種別\nOutcome\n\n## 判断質問\nXの収益化条件へ近づくため、何を継続改善するべきか。\n\n## 現在の差分\n2026-07-31時点で、3M impressions表示は240.7K、認証済みフォロワーは375 / 500。表示上の到達量gapが大きい。\n\n## 方針仮説\n投稿数だけでなく、計測範囲、配信面、内容、価値行動を分解し、独立した実験を並行して回すと改善速度が上がる。\n\n## 成功指標\n- account-level organic impressions 90d（正確なeligibility counterは未確認ならunknownのまま扱う）\n- verified follower count\n- 補助: per-post 24h impressions、engagement、conversation、profile click\n\n## ガードレール\n公開投稿・プロフィール変更・follow/unfollow・DMは本文完全一致の竹村承認なしに実行しない。\n\n## 次の一手\n全体計測を修正し、関連返信面とURL有無を別のcontrolled variableとして並行実験する。","rootNotes":null,"status":"open","seedType":"normal","origin":"human","attributes":{},"createdBy":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","updatedBy":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","createdAt":"2026-07-31T03:09:15.029Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-31T03:09:15.029Z"}],"decisionReferences":[{"id":"019fb62a-f03a-7244-8df0-b4e8795d865a","decisionId":"019fb628-74ba-7710-8138-30de7c5b66fb","seedId":"019fb625-cd0e-7d29-8ed5-6a7e417a4b3c","role":"supporting","note":"全体計測を先に直す理由。candidate-matchedはaccount impressionsの14.6%。","snapshot":{"body":"## 種別\nProblem / Cause\n\n## 判断質問\n現在の候補投稿collectorだけで、Xアカウント全体の到達変化を診断できるか。\n\n## 観測（2026-07-25〜2026-07-31）\n- account content CSV: 147投稿、30,034 impressions。\n- candidate-matched: 33投稿、4,379 impressions、全体の14.6%。\n- candidate外: 114投稿、25,655 impressions。\n- candidate 24h collector: 38投稿、5,075 impressions、中央値135。\n\n## 評価\nsupported。候補collectorだけでは全体変動の85.4%を説明できず、原因分析が偏る。\n\n## 反証条件\n日次照合後、candidate-matchedがアカウント全体の大半を継続して覆い、差分が軽微ならこの原因を棄却する。\n\n## 次の一手\naccount content全体を候補ID・投稿種別・実験タグへ照合し、未捕捉の到達寄与を毎日記録する。","title":"[x-nariyachan] 候補投稿metricsだけではアカウント全体を説明できない","seedType":"normal"},"createdBy":"019f8e4b-b2eb-7e97-8ff2-a3d4dded8c91","createdAt":"2026-07-31T03:14:55.162Z"}]}